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Prevalence and outcomes of hypocalcemia on ED arrival in traumatic patients before blood transfusions: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Background

Hypocalcemia represents a critical physiological disturbance in trauma-related hemorrhagic shock patients. Nonetheless, the prevalence and effects of hypocalcemia remain uncertain. This study aims to explore the prevalence of hypocalcemia before blood transfusions and its related mortality in adult patients with major traumatic injuries.

Method

We conducted a systematic search through databases, including PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Web of Science, from their inception until June 30, 2024. Patients with major traumatic injuries whose serum calcium was measured upon arrival at the emergency department (ED) were included. We excluded those with prior blood transfusions, pre-clinical studies, review articles, and studies without a control group. Meta-analysis using a random-effect model was performed. Heterogeneity was evaluated using Cochrane Q and I² statistics. The study’s risk of bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute’s critical appraisal checklist. Publication bias was assessed using Egger’s test and contour funnel plot visualization.

Results

Of the total, 1,984 abstracts were screened, leading to 15 studies in this review and meta-analysis. The overall prevalence of hypocalcemia upon ED arrival was 56% (95% CI 37%-74%), with high heterogeneity (I2 99.8%) observed. Hypocalcemia patients also had higher mortality rates than normocalcemia patients (OR 2.44, 95% CI 1.76–3.40).

Conclusion

Hypocalcemia on ED arrival is common among adult trauma patients, who also exhibit a notably high mortality rate within this demographic. We recommend the monitoring of ionized calcium levels in traumatic adult patients. Furthermore, systematically designed studies examining the optimal thresholds, treatment protocols, and outcomes should be prioritized as the focal point of research.

Trial registration

CRD42024549054 (http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO).

Introduction

Injury is a significant contributor to death and disability worldwide [1]. It imposes a substantial burden through economic costs and long-term health disabilities [1, 2]. While traumatic brain injury is the most significant global contributor to trauma mortality overall, hemorrhagic shock remains a leading cause of preventable early deaths in major trauma patients, contributing to nearly 1.5 million deaths globally [3, 4]. Deaths from hemorrhage typically occur in the early phase of injury, with a median time of around two hours post-injury [2, 3]. However, early hypotension is associated with delayed mortality, such as from organ failure or infection [5] —Currently, treatments for hemorrhagic shock focus on bleeding control and achieving definitive hemostasis [3, 6].

Ionized calcium is a form of calcium in the human body that can be measured using portable devices [7]. Calcium is crucial in regulating vasomotor tone, platelet function, the coagulation cascade, and cardiac contractility, all vital in trauma settings [7]. In trauma patients, hypocalcemia has been studied and found to be correlated with poor outcomes, such as higher mortality and an increased need for massive transfusion [8,9,10,11,12]. Despite these associations, there is no definitive conclusion on the direct impact of hypocalcemia on trauma outcomes [7, 13].

The occurrence of hypocalcemia in major trauma patients varies across studies, and its impact on patient outcomes is still unclear [14,15,16,17]. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to establish the incidence of initial hypocalcemia in adult traumatic patients without prior blood product administration. Additionally, we also aimed to investigate the relationship between hypocalcemia and mortality in these patients.

Methods

This systematic review was prepared following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses statements [18]. We prospectively registered the study protocol with the PROSPERO website before collecting data (Registration ID: CRD42024549054, http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO).

Search strategy and study selection

We systematically searched four databases, PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, and Web of Science, from their inception until June 30, 2024. Our search strategy did not impose any language restrictions. We employed a combination of the Medical Subject Heading (MeSH) terms, along with different spellings and endings, to identify relevant articles on “hypocalcemia,” “injuries,” “wound,” “incidence,” “prevalence,” “trauma,” and “emergency room.” Detailed search terms were described in Supplementary files. We also searched websites, organizations, relevant reviews, and references to identify additional eligible studies. We also searched for citations from relevant articles. The search results from these databases were extracted. Duplicate studies were removed, and the remaining studies were added to the Rayyan QCRI website. Rayyan website (https://rayyan.qcri.org) was used to streamline the systematic review process by assisting with the screening of titles and abstracts and anonymously selecting eligible and inclusion studies [19].

Inclusion criteria and outcome of interest

The inclusion criteria were as follows:

  1. 1.

    Any study included traumatic adult patients (Age > 15) with no prior blood transfusion before taking iCa level who presented to the emergency department (ED).

  2. 2.

    Reporting of prevalence or incidence of hypocalcemia on arrival at the ED (i.e., did not receive any blood product).

  3. 3.

    Reporting of outcome or endpoint on mortality of hypocalcemia and normocalcemia groups.

Hypocalcemia was defined by low calcium levels in the blood serum measured by either ionized calcium (iCa) or total calcium (Ca) levels. We excluded pre-clinical studies, review articles, and studies without a control group (i.e., case reports, case series, etc.). We (W.S. and W.W.) independently screened study titles and abstracts to identify potentially eligible studies. Full-text articles of the retrieved studies were extracted and independently assessed by two authors against the pre-specified criteria. Any discrepancies were discussed with another author (S.K.) and resolved through consensus. The primary outcome was the prevalence of hypocalcemia on arrival at the ED. The secondary outcome included hospital mortality between hypocalcemia and normocalcemia groups.

Data extraction and assessment of the study risk of bias

Data was extracted from the included articles following a pre-specified data extraction form, including the first author, publication year, country, study setting, study duration, cohort size, numbers of hypocalcemia, key inclusion and exclusion criteria, injury severity score (ISS), and mortality. All extracted data were entered into a data spreadsheet (Microsoft Excel). Two authors (W.S. and S.K.) independently assessed the risk of bias in the included studies, and any disagreements were resolved by the third author (W.W.). The study risk of bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute’s (JBI) critical appraisal checklist [20, 21].

Statistical analysis

We collected the relevant information in the prepared data spreadsheet. The extracted database was exported to Stata MP 16 statistical software (StataCorp LLC, College Station, TX) for statistical analysis. We estimated the prevalence of hypocalcemia and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). The random-effects model was used to adjust for predicted significant heterogeneity among studies. Subgroup analyses were performed based on the study risk of bias (“low risk” as having a JBI checklist of 8–9, “some concern” as having a JBI checklist of 5–7, and “high risk” as having a JBI checklist of 0–4. We calculated the pooled odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% CI between groups using the random-effect REML model for the secondary outcome. We also performed sensitivity analyses to assess the direction of the relationship between the severity of hypocalcemia and mortality rates in these patients. The publication bias was assessed using Egger’s test and visualization of the contoured Funnel plot. Heterogeneity among studies was evaluated using Cochrane Q and the I2 statistics. All tests were two-sided, with a p-value of less than 0.05, which was considered statistically significant.

Results

Study selection and characteristics

A total of 1,984 abstracts were preliminary screened through a search of four databases (Fig. 1). Of these, 28 full-text studies were examined, and thirteen were excluded. This resulted in fifteen studies included in this review and meta-analysis [8,9,10,11,12, 14,15,16,17, 22,23,24,25,26,27]. All observational cohort studies (Table 1) were undertaken at a trauma center. Studies varied in sample size (n = 60–30,183), inclusion and exclusion criteria (Table S1), definition of hypocalcemia, and prevalence of blunt injury (73 -100%).

Fig. 1
figure 1

PRISMA diagram of searching, screening, and inclusion

Table 1 Details of included studies and summary of patient characteristics

Risk of bias in studies

Eight studies were classified as having a low risk of bias, while the remaining had some concerns (Table S2). Bias was mainly due to the data needed to be collected with sufficient coverage of the identified sample [8, 9, 12, 14,15,16, 22, 23, 25]. Moreover, the selection of patients included in the studies also risked assessing hypocalcemia since they targeted only traumatic brain injury patients [12, 22, 25].

Primary and secondary outcome

Hypocalcemia was defined differently among the included studies (Table 1). The definition varied from < 0.9 mmol to < 1.16 mmol/L. The overall prevalence of hypocalcemia on arrival at the ED was 56% (95% CI 37%-74%, Fig. 2). Notably, this synthesis was largely heterogeneous (I2 99.8%), with no significant difference observed among low-risk and some concern studies (p = 0.92). In addition, the prevalence of severe hypocalcemia on arrival at the ED was 8% (95% CI 3%-16%, Figure S1).

Among thirteen studies that reported mortality, patients with hypocalcemia on ED arrival had higher mortality rates than normocalcemia patients (OR 2.44, 95% CI 1.76–3.40, Fig. 3). No difference was observed among low-risk and some concern studies (p = 0.97). High heterogeneity was observed in each group (based on the risk of bias, I2 94.4% in low-risk studies and 51.0% in some concern studies). Additionally, we found a similar direction, considering three studies reported mortality in patients with severe hypocalcemia. They had higher mortality compared with patients with normocalcemia (OR 7.46, 95% CI 1.35–41.26, Figure S2).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Forest plot of incidence of hypocalcemia in traumatic adult patients, which subgroups as some concern and low risk of bias

Fig. 3
figure 3

Forest plot of hypocalcemia and mortality rate in traumatic adult patients using random-effects model, which subgroups as some concern and low risk of bias

Reporting bias

The contoured funnel plot shows no asymmetry (Fig. 4). The distribution of studies within and outside the contour lines was similar, suggesting no potential publication bias. Egger’s test confirmed this observation with a p-value of 0.86.

Fig. 4
figure 4

Contoured funnel plot shows no asymmetry

Discussion

This systematic review and meta-analysis represents an updated comprehensive overview of hypocalcemia in adult major trauma patients. By integrating retrospective and prospective observational studies, we expanded upon previous research [14] to encompass a wider range of patient subgroups [22, 25, 26]. Our findings revealed that hypocalcemia is a common condition affecting approximately half of adult major trauma patients. This finding aligns with prior studies demonstrating an association between major trauma and hypocalcemia, even after blood transfusion [11, 28]. Several mechanisms may contribute to the development of hypocalcemia in trauma patients, including citrate chelation [7, 29], acidosis [9], and parathyroid hormone dysfunction [30,31,32,33]. Based on these findings, we recommend monitoring ionized calcium levels for all adult major trauma patients upon hospital admission. Furthermore, the mechanisms underlying hypocalcemia in trauma patients, beyond those associated with transfusion, warrant further investigation to address the existing gaps in knowledge.

Our study further highlights a significant association between hypocalcemia (also severe hypocalcemia) and increased mortality rates, consistent with previous research [3, 13, 14, 28]. However, we acknowledge that the relationship between hypocalcemia and mortality is not as straightforward as initially concluded. For instance, the Helsloot study [14], the largest included study, suggests a bimodal relationship between hypocalcemia and mortality. This indicates that while low calcium levels are associated with worse outcomes, patients with hypercalcemia also resulted in increased mortality. This phenomenon may stem from various factors, such as muscle breakdown or skeletal fractures, though the exact pathophysiological mechanisms remain poorly understood. Several hypotheses attempt to explain this relationship, including the theory that cytosolic and mitochondrial calcium overload disrupt critical intracellular signaling pathways, ultimately triggering cell death mechanisms [34, 35]. This bimodal relationship highlights the potential harm of unrecognized hypercalcemia, particularly in the context of excessive calcium supplementation. Further studies are needed to explore this potential bimodal relationship and its implications for clinical practice.

Hypocalcemia could indeed reflect injury severity rather than being a direct cause of mortality. Several hypotheses can explain the pathophysiological link. For example, hypocalcemia might exacerbate trauma-induced coagulopathy through its role in the coagulation cascade [14], leading to worsened hemostasis. Additionally, calcium is critical for cardiac contractility and vascular tone [36,37,38], and hypocalcemia-induced hypotension and impaired myocardial function could further compromise patients with major trauma [36,37,38,39,40,41]. Moreover, citrate chelation from transfusions and acidosis may contribute to reduced ionized calcium levels [42], compounding systemic effects. To address these gaps, future research should aim to dissect whether hypocalcemia serves as a marker of injury severity or actively contributes to adverse outcomes. Studies focusing on the temporal relationship between hypocalcemia onset and clinical deterioration, alongside controlled trials investigating calcium supplementation strategies, are essential to clarify its causal role and therapeutic implications in trauma patients.

While our study demonstrates no evidence of publication bias, it is important to acknowledge its limitations. First, there is significant heterogeneity in the diagnostic criteria, study settings, patient populations, and timing of calcium measurement across the included studies. For instance, while our inclusion criteria specified that calcium levels should be measured on admission before transfusion, variations in the timing and methodology among the included studies remain a limitation, as this can influence the generalizability of our findings. Second, many of the included studies are single-center with small cohorts, potentially impacting the statistical power and external validity of our results. Furthermore, the risk of bias assessment, although conducted rigorously, may underestimate the actual bias due to inconsistencies in reporting across studies. We also note that the included studies are highly heterogeneous in their methodologies and timing for measuring calcium levels. Importantly, most studies did not account for pH adjustments, which is a critical limitation. A low pH, often seen in critically ill trauma patients, can influence ionized calcium levels. Without pH adjustment, calcium levels might primarily serve as a marker of critical illness rather than representing a physiological or therapeutic target. This limitation underscores the need for future research to standardize calcium measurement methods, including pH adjustments, and to better delineate the role of calcium levels as a potential therapeutic target in trauma care.

We agree that a meta-analysis requires a well-defined patient population. The heterogeneity identified in our included studies underscores the need for future research to focus on standardizing diagnostic criteria and reporting methods. Despite these limitations, our findings emphasize the need for monitoring and managing ionized calcium levels in major trauma patients and highlight the critical need for large-scale, multicenter, randomized controlled trials to establish standardized thresholds and treatment protocols for hypocalcemia in trauma care.

Conclusion

Hypocalcemia at ED arrival frequently occurs in adult trauma patients before blood transfusions and is associated with increased mortality. While definitive diagnostic criteria are absent, we suggest monitoring ionized calcium levels in this population. In the future, well-structured studies should focus on optimal thresholds, treatment protocols, and endpoints for calcium supplementation.

Data availability

No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study.

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Acknowledgements

We acknowledge Ms. Rudklao Sairai, research coordinator, for contributing to the proposal and protocol preparation.

Funding

This study was supported by the Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University.

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Contributions

WS, SK, BC, and WW conceived the research question and study design. WS and WW collected and validated the data. WS and SK assessed each study’s risk of bias. WW performed data analysis. WS drafted the initial manuscript and prepared tables. WW prepared all figures and critically revised the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Wachira Wongtanasarasin.

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Srichuachom, W., Krintratun, S., Chenthanakij, B. et al. Prevalence and outcomes of hypocalcemia on ED arrival in traumatic patients before blood transfusions: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med 33, 43 (2025). https://doiorg.publicaciones.saludcastillayleon.es/10.1186/s13049-025-01361-y

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